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Why hasnโ€™t AI taken your job yet?

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JA Soler
JA Soler
Mar 30, 2025

John Burn-Murdochย digs into one of the strangest paradoxes in tech today: ๐€๐ˆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž โ€” ๐ฒ๐ž๐ญ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ž๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐จ๐ฎ๐œ๐ก๐ž๐.


GPT-style models pass elite exams and write essays indistinguishable from postgraduate work. But when it comes to job losses? Most roles are surprisingly stable โ€” even in sectors we assumed would be first in line for disruption. Soโ€ฆ ๐ฐ๐ก๐š๐ญโ€™๐ฌ ๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐จ๐ง?


๐€ ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐๐š๐ญ๐š-๐๐ซ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐š๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ก๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ. John Burn-Murdochย analyzed U.S. employment trends across roles deemed high-risk for automation (based on Brookings & OpenAI research). Hereโ€™s what he found:

ย - ๐๐จ ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐ฌ๐ก ๐ฒ๐ž๐ญ: Roles like accounting clerks, legal secretaries, and underwriters? No major drops in employment โ€” yet.

ย - ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐ž๐ฑ๐œ๐ž๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ: Writers and software developers are showing clear signs of AI-related job decline โ€” diverging from industry trends around them.


๐–๐ก๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐๐ข๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ž? A new study by AI research lab METR gives us a fresh lens. Turns out, ๐€๐ˆ ๐ž๐ฑ๐œ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐š๐ญ โ€œ๐ง๐ž๐š๐ญ, ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž๐โ€ ๐ญ๐š๐ฌ๐ค๐ฌ โ€” not necessarily ones that are difficult or technical. That means jobs like writing articles or coding cleanly defined programs are far more automatable than you might think. On the flip side, even simple jobs like travel agents, executive assistants and bookkeeping clerks require juggling unpredictable goals, unclear inputs, human interaction, and multitasking. In other words: ๐ก๐ฎ๐ฆ๐š๐ง โ€œ๐ฆ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌโ€ ๐›๐ฎ๐ฒ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ž.


๐€ ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ข๐œ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐š๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ. Itโ€™s not about how smart the task is โ€” but how structured it is. Ironically, Silicon Valleyโ€™s obsession with efficiency and predictability may have made some tech jobs ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ข๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐€๐ˆ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐œ๐ž.

In particular, jobs that are: linear, repeatable and freelance/contract-based are most at risk โ€” especially when AI tools can be slotted in without HR friction.


๐€ ๐ ๐ซ๐ข๐ฆ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐š๐ญ๐š-๐๐ซ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฌ? If your job involves gathering data, writing up clean summaries, and staying within a fixed word countโ€ฆ well, AI is coming for you โ€” fast.


๐“๐ก๐ž ๐›๐ข๐  ๐ฅ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง? AI isnโ€™t just about automating low-skill work. Itโ€™s about automating ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ค. And that flips many of our assumptions on their head.


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