Don’t fear the AI ‘jobpocalypse’
Fears of an AI-driven “jobpocalypse” are rising. Public figures warn that AI could hit labour markets like a tsunami, and the timing feels uncomfortable: unemployment is edging up in many advanced economies, entry-level roles are harder to find, and tech redundancies keep making headlines.
But the big claim — “AI is already destroying jobs at scale” — doesn’t hold up well under scrutiny. Labour markets did cool after ChatGPT’s release in November 2022, yet a slowdown that happens after a technology launch doesn’t prove the technology caused it.
Take the US, where AI investment has been most visible. Some observers argue that booming stock markets and falling job openings since around 2023 are proof that AI is boosting capital returns while squeezing workers. Zoom in, though, and the story shifts: job openings were already declining before ChatGPT arrived. A more straightforward explanation is macroeconomics. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates…




